Scenario Analysis

The Transit Transformation Project will evaluate different scenarios in an analysis of current public transportation in Hampton Roads and ways to improve it.  As part of the project’s “blank slate” approach to design scenarios based on community feedback and technical evaluation to develop a new bus network, the project team will evaluate scenarios based on the following: 

      • Ridership (number of riders on each potential route)
      • Access to transit (proximity to alternate modes of transit, such as light rail or ferry)
      • Travel time (amount of time required to complete a trip)

After the initial evaluation, the project team will develop two final scenarios, which may combine two more of the scenarios above. The final scenarios will include two options: 

      • Cost Neutral – the same price as HRT’s existing service
      • Cost Neutral Plus – HRT’s existing service plus enhancements to improve speed and passenger experience. This will include the identification of what can be locally- or HRT-funded. 
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Scenario One: Better Match of Supply and Demand

This scenario incorporates strategic improvements to existing service to better align with demand.

  • Fixed Routes: 48
  • On-Demand Flex Zones: 4

ON-DEMAND ZONES
North Portsmouth (Route 44)
Northeastern Virginia Beach (Routes 29 and 33)
Chesapeake (Route 58)

CONNECTIONS WITH INCREASED SERVICE
Downtown Norfolk to North Norfolk
(Naval Station Norfolk / Old Dominion University / Evelyn Butts)
Downtown Norfolk to Chesapeake (Robert Hall)
South Norfolk to Virginia Beach (Tidewater CC)
Downtown Norfolk to Virginia Beach (Oceanfront)
Downtown Newport News to Downtown Hampton
Newport News to Hampton (Peninsula Town Center)
Newport News to Patrick Henry Mall / Fort Eustis
Downtown Hampton to East Hampton (Buckroe / Hampton University)

ROUTES ELIMINATED
Downtown Norfolk / Ballentine Boulevard (Route 18)
Newtown Rd Station / Joint Expeditionary Base Little Creek (Route 22)
Tidewater CC Virginia Beach / Lynnhaven Mall (Route 26)
Patrick Henry Mall / Lee Hall (Route 116)

Scenario Two: High-Frequency

This scenario consolidates existing service into high-frequency corridors. Thirteen routes would have 15-minute peak and midday frequency, 30-minute evening frequency. Nine routes would have 30-minute all day frequency. 

  • Fixed Routes: 22
  • On-Demand Flex Zones: 0

15-MINUTE PEAK FREQUENCY CORRIDORS
Warwick Boulevard
Jefferson Avenue
Mercury Boulevard
Hampton Boulevard
Granby Street
Little Creek Road

Military Highway
Independence Boulevard
Portsmouth Boulevard
Liberty Drive
Lynnhaven Parkway
Virginia Beach Boulevard

30-MINUTE ALL DAY FREQUENCY CORRIDORS
Kecoughtan Road
Churchland Boulevard
George Washington Highway
Indian River Road
Tidewater Drive

Ocean View Avenue
Princess Anne Road
Northampton Boulevard
Atlantic Avenue
Shore Drive

Scenario Three: Maximum Coverage

This scenario expanded service and span coverage across the region. Nine routes with a 30-minute peak and off-peak frequency. Ten routes with a 30-minute peak and a 60-minute off-peak frequency. Three new coverage routes. 

  • Fixed Routes: 59
  • On-Demand Flex Zones: 9

ON-DEMAND ZONES
West Newport News – Net Center
Northern Hampton – Net Center
West Portsmouth – College & Lakeview
Central Portsmouth – Florida & High
East Norfolk – Evelyn Butts
Northwest Virginia Beach – Shore & Pleasure House
North Virginia Beach – First Colonial & Donna
Southwest Virginia Beach – TCC Virginia Beach
South Chesapeake – TCC Chesapeake

NEW FIXED-ROUTES
Kempsville Road / Pembroke Road
Independence Boulevard / Rosemont Road
Holland Road / Nimmo Parkway / London Bridge Road /
General Booth Road / Dam Neck Road

REDUCED 15-MINUTE PEAK SERVICE
Downtown Norfolk Transit Center / Pembroke East (Route 1)
Robert Hall Blvd / Evelyn T. Butts Ave (Route 15)
Downtown Norfolk / Naval Station (Route 3)
Downtown Norfolk / Virginia Beach Oceanfront (Route 20)
Downtown Norfolk Transit Center / Portsmouth (Route 45)
Downtown Portsmouth / Churchland (Route 47)